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The CIS-4-US dollar relationship is currently experiencing some rather unexpected challenges as regional economies navigate a complex web of economic crosscurrents. Armenia, Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, and Uzbekistan are, at the time of writing, largely insulated from the direct impact of US trade tariffs but are definitely not immune to those pesky secondary effects. While domestic macro conditions are mostly in decent shape right now, key factors to watch include trade exposure to China and the EU, sensitivities to oil prices, and also rising inflationary pressures across the CIS-4 US dollar economic sphere. Also Read: VeChain On The Verge Of Overtaking Trump Coin: Here’s When Oil Dependence, Tariffs, And Inflation Cloud CIS-4 Dollar Hopes Source: Watcher Guru Trade Exposure Heightens Vulnerability The direct impact of US tariffs on the CIS-4 should be minimal, given that the US accounts for only about 0.5-2.0% of their exports, while commodities make up approximately 50-95% of their exp...

When President Donald Trump took office earlier this year, bitcoin (BTC) was at an all-time high, and the crypto industry was euphoric. Now, just over six weeks later, reality has set in. Plotting specific metrics on a graph shows an avalanche of downward trendlines toward recession. Protos has compiled a chart of major assets, indices, and metrics relevant to any investor since the day Trump became president for the second time, proving it would have been better to have bought the rumor and sold the news of Trump’s ostensibly pro-crypto administration. Niche sectors within crypto have performed particularly poorly but macro metrics like unemployment have also suffered. Since Inauguration Day, crypto’s combined market cap has declined $800 billion, while BTC has lost nearly one-third of its value, plummeting from an all-time high of just over $108,000 on January 20 to a little over $75,000 early on Monday . This is despite Trump promoting the currency multiple tim...

Since his nomination as the 47th US President, Donald Trump has made several promises to US citizens, most notably to lower taxes. With these tax talks, Trump’s biggest resource for making that dream a reality has been through tariffs. The US President has explored tariffs on most of the United States’ major exporters, including Mexico and China. On the home front, Trump’s new Department of Government efficiency, is working to cut down on US spending, which includes thousands of jobs, to make way for tax cuts. According to a report by FactCheck.org, on average, taxpayers in every income group would get some tax relief, but not everyone. In all, about two-thirds to three-quarters of taxpayers would get a tax cut, according to independent analyses. Also, the cuts skew in favor of wealthy Americans, who would see more tax relief not only in the dollar amount but as a percentage of income, on average. But again, the wealthy wouldn’t be the only ones to benefit. Trump to Me...

BRICS member India’s local currency rupee is facing heavy pressure from the US dollar in the forex markets in 2025. The INR dipped to an all-time low of 86.65 on Monday and was close to falling to a lifetime low of 87. However, the local currency managed to break the downward spell and briefly surged to 86.46 on Thursday’s opening bell. Also Read: BRICS: Russia & Myanmar to Trade In Local Currency, Ditch US Dollar Source: Google India is accused of intervention in the currency markets to keep the rupee from crashing against the USD. Reuters reported that the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) directed state-run banks to dump billions worth of US dollars in the currency market to keep the rupee from falling. This is not the first time that BRICS member India has been accused of market intervention to safeguard the rupee. The country most likely intervened thrice in 2024 and twice in 2025 to protect the rupee from sliding. The BRICS country’s local currency brief correction on ...

Though it is undeniable XRP had an excellent run in November, and that it, despite the turbulence, retains much of the recent gains, it is equally clear that, last week, the token fell upon tough times. Specifically, after rallying 468% between election day and its recent peaks on December 3, XRP collapsed 19% by press time, reaching its December 24 price of $2.30. In the last seven days, the cryptocurrency market dynamics ensured the token diminished by about $20 billion as its market capitalization plunged from $152 billion to $132 billion. Picks for you Solana (SOL) is set for an imminent rally — Here’s why 2 mins ago XRP price prediction as whales amass 40 million tokens in 24 hours 1 hour ago ...

As protests in Venezuela (often met with brutal force by the authorities) continue over the re-election of President Nicolás Maduro and his policies, opposition leader María Corina Machado has envisioned Bitcoin (BTC) as a national reserve asset in a future democratic Venezuela. Specifically, Machado was discussing what she called the “violations of financial rights” by Maduro and the former president Hugo Chávez, “a tragedy unfolding over the last two decades,” with Alex Gladstein, the Chief Strategy Officer at the Human Rights Foundation (HRF), in an interview streamed on September 5. Economy in Venezuela under Chávez and Maduro According to her, the “Venezuelan Bolivar, once stable at three to four units per U.S. dollar, has lost 14 zeros under Chávez and Maduro, turning a functional economy into a catastrophic financial crisis, (…) inflation reached an unimaginable 1.7 million percent, with prices doubling every four days” in 2018.” ...

With the U.S. government shutdown on the horizons, the crypto market faces growing uncertainty amid key economic events, challenging traditional investment norms. Following the FOMC meeting on Sep.19, Bitcoin (BTC) and other cryptocurrencies face upcoming macroeconomic events this week, with Thursday spotlighting the Q2 U.S. GDP data, predicted at 2.1%. Concurrently, a key highlight will be Fed Chair Powell’s speech, shedding light on the Fed’s economic perceptions and possible policy shifts. Key Events This Week: 1. Consumer Confidence data – Tuesday 2. Building Permits/New Home Sales data – Tuesday 3. Q2 GDP Data – Thursday 4. Pending Home Sales data – Thursday 5. Fed Chair Powell Speaks – Thursday 6. August PCE Inflation data- Friday 7. Total of 6 Fed… — The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) September 24, 2023 The week rounds off with the U.S. Core PCE Price Index, a consistent inflation indicator that’s been oscillating aro...

Analysts have called for a U.S. recession all year, but stocks continue to creep higher. Here are three metrics investors can watch to know if an economic downturn is coming. Inflation came down a lot faster than most investor s and analysts anticipated, reaching 3% in June. The recession that most analysts predicted is nowhere to be seen, according to the 3.6% unemployment rate nearing a 50-year low and the S&P 500 Index showing a 19% gain year-to-date. While the current market performance may lead investor s to believe that a recession has been avoided, there are three metrics that have been able to consistently predict recession s over time. These leading economic indicator s are key economic variables that tend to move ahead of changes in overall economic activity, providing an early warning system for changes in the business cycle. Let’s dig into three of these indicator s and explain how investor s can interpret them. Yield curve inversion The yield curve represents th...

Feelings over BTC price action diverge across short and long timeframes as the upcoming CPI and PPI prints unsettle the mood. Bitcoin (BTC) got busy testing $30,000 as new support at the April 11 Wall Street open after hitting new ten-month highs. BTC/USD 1-hour candle chart (Bitstamp). Source: TradingView $30,000 surge decimates liquidity Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView showed BTC/USD coming down from an overnight peak near $30,500. The pair had spent most of the day bouncing from the $30,000 mark after finally passing it in a short squeeze weeks in the making. Major misgivings from some market participants accompanied the move, with fears centering on a potential correction to $25,000 or even lower. Takes became more optimistic on longer timeframes, however. The $30,000 push, for instance, cemented popular trader and analyst Rekt Capital’s conviction that Bitcoin had abandoned a bearish double top formation from Q1. “The signs for distortion of the BTC Double Top...

Bank of America Global Research recently stated in a note that they anticipate the Federal Reserve raising interest rates to 6%. Not just for the US but for other countries throughout the world as well, rising inflation has been a worrying problem. Global central banks have been working hard to contain rising inflation and avert the threat of a recession. Also read: Crypto and SEC: Here’s How the SEC Brought its Crackdown Game in February 2023 The Fed has been boosting Interest Rates to bring inflation under control. However, the recent speculation by Bank of America is higher than the earlier expected interest rate of 5.4% by traders. JUST IN: 🇺🇸 Bank of America says Federal Reserve may increase interest rates to almost 6%. — Watcher.Guru (@WatcherGuru) February 28, 2023 Bank of America says strong US consumer demand will force interest rate hike According to Bank of America, the possibility of a rise in interest rates is likely due...

Bitcoin bulls celebrated BTC’s push through a long term trendline resistance, but has anything actually changed? On Oct.4 and Oct. 5 Bitcoin (BTC) took another step through the $20,000 mark, bringing the price above a long-term descending trendline that stretches all the way back to Apr. 22, or Nov. 15 depending on one’s style of technical Analysis . Some traders might be feeling a bit celebratory now that price trades outside of the descending trendline, but have any relevant metrics or macro factors changed enough to support a bullish point-of-view for Bitcoin price? In reality, BTC price simply “consolidated” its way through the trendline by trading in a sideways manner where price has been range bound between $18,500 and $24,500 for the past 114 days. BTC/USDT. Source: TradingView Direction-wise, Bitcoin and Ether tend to trade in tandem with equities and BTC’s Oct. 4 rally to $20,365 comes as the Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq closed the day with 2% to 3% gains. BTC, ETH and S&...